Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe weather near Ballenger Creek

FrederickUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 14 June 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 58th strongest of the 191 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 6:43PM EDT until June 14 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

An estimated 511,219 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates39.3862, -77.6236
Nearest CityBallenger Creek (16 km)
Population Exposed511.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-14T22:43:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.223c555e2b8dc309c36b4bf4aff9e7fd

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescYork, VA; City of Hampton, VA; City of Newport News, VA; York, VA; City of Hampton, VA; City of Poquoson, VA; Charles City, VA; Hanover, VA; Henrico, VA; King William, VA; New Kent, VA and 15 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 6:43PM EDT until June 14 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-06-14T19:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount18
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.223c555e2b8dc309c36b4bf4aff9e7fd89ed9b18.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30a18c7d631fc09e09fb4a408ac5f5e19ec4992e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0b85d45ff55e343b1e17662d961120a67b2cc512.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e534869c9186bda2e0ee567ad032badd3d92acd4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1cc41de47c17dec5590de5f19424de033ab3c51.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.348195bce285fcc713bedd86b40a1ffbcf889b55.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0e34e8b294065fe7d16f2926aab53c2e51066591.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb55ad080c93e02deb0c78e99959d1a48d587c66.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4ccdaa4b34c790f572b48bfe2625d6db5b79000f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.052fdaac3ec7360c5077b8faecd5eea5a9f31a13.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.41be5b1adcb622b5f933b08d8d247ebf5dffb98f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4d5e4f8c6df4fd4bb7bccb87bdbea9702de01dab.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0d226b6a6dc655789f7d45233d1c9eb297d9e067.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f360bd82c75449dad5f2326277cdd1982a4226f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c8d1553a851b50fd3e695193a42d287a9d6c0e80.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2104528107c29c38b504ec2c57c1c8fc1f640d02.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3f41b56319e0139bf854459546d4d34e8f8650bb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.478ecf074ccc636b9c40861625129f7a5a333d24.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Ballenger Creek (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.